by Matt Wilkes

RC+ Recap: Hideous uniforms, hideous loss

The ending of Friday night’s game was befitting of the hideous uniforms the Reds were wearing.

Despite some late-inning heroics from Aristides Aquino to break a 1-1 tie with the Pirates, Raisel Iglesias imploded once again in the final inning in a 3-2 loss. The win probability chart says it all:


Source: FanGraphs

Iglesias gave up three straight singles to start the inning, recorded an out on a sacrifice bunt, and allowed a walk-off single. None of the four hits Iglesias allowed were particularly hard hit — only one exceeded the 95-mph threshold Statcast deems “hard” contact. The singles had exit velocities of 90.5, 74.8, 66.5, and 96.5 mph. None were particularly egregious in terms of location, either, although he did miss his spot on an 0-2 pitch to Colin Moran, who singled to start the inning:

Aquino was the driving force of the offense once again. He had four hard-hit balls on the night — the rest of the lineup had two combined — and the third-hardest was his home run. That dinger got the Reds on the board in the second inning and set a new record for fewest games to get to 12 career home runs. He came through later with the go-ahead double in the eighth.

The Reds missed a huge opportunity to blow the game open in the seventh inning. After putting runners on first and third with no outs against starter Mitch Keller, the Pirates turned to Michael Feliz out of the bullpen. Derek Dietrich, Nick Senzel, and Brian O’Grady didn’t manage to put a single ball in play, all striking out. The sequence dropped the Reds’ win probability from 71.9% to 41.6%.

Anthony DeSclafani had a solid night on the mound, throwing six inning of one-run baseball. He didn’t allow a home run for the first time in five starts. It was just the 10th time in 25 outings that he didn’t allow a long ball. Disco didn’t rely on swings and misses, only registering three on 80 pitches, but he got a healthy dose of ground balls (61.1%) by primarily his slider.

Robert Stephenson and Amir Garrett pitched two scoreless innings in relief. Stephenson overcame an ugly error on a dropped pop-up by Eugenio Suarez and struck out Kevin Newman with a runner on third base in the seventh. Garrett threw a perfect eighth inning.

Reds Most Valuable Players

  • Aristides Aquino: .388 WPA (Win Probability Added) | 3-for-4, HR, 2 RBI
  • Anthony DeSclafani: .174 WPA | 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 2 BB, 4 K
  • Tucker Barnhart: .136 WPA | 1-for-2, 2B, 2 BB

Reds Least Valuable Players

  • Raisel Iglesias: -.813 WPA | 0.1 IP, 2 ER, 4 H
  • Nick Senzel: -.168 WPA | 0-for-3, BB, K
  • Eugenio Suarez: -.133 WPA | 0-for-3

Play of the Game

  • Aristides Aquino: .272 WPA | Double in 8th inning

Hardest-Hit Balls

  • Aristides Aquino: 112.4 mph single in 4th inning
  • Aristides Aquino: 102.0 mph double in 8th inning
  • Aristides Aquino: 101.3 mph home run in 2nd inning

Luckiest Hit of the Day

  • Tucker Barnhart.090 xBA, 87.7 mph, 27° LA; Double

Unluckiest Out of the Day

  • Josh VanMeter: .310 xBA, 92.5 mph, -2° LA; Groundout

Highest Pitch Velocities by Pitcher

  • Anthony DeSclafani: 96.3 mph four-seam fastball
  • Amir Garrett: 96.2 mph two-seam fastball
  • Robert Stephenson: 95.6 mph four-seam fastball
  • Raisel Iglesias: 95.4 mph four-seam fastball

Links

Matt Wilkes got hooked on Reds baseball after attending his first game in Cinergy Field at 6 years old, and he hasn’t looked back. As a kid, he was often found imitating his favorite players — Ken Griffey Jr., Adam Dunn, Sean Casey, and Austin Kearns — in the backyard. When he finally went inside, he was leading the Reds to 162-0 seasons in MVP Baseball 2005 or keeping stats for whatever game was on TV. He started writing about baseball in 2014 and has become fascinated by analytics and all the new data in the game. Matt is also a graduate of The Ohio State University and currently lives in Columbus. Follow him on Twitter at @_MattWilkes.