by Matt Wilkes

RC+ Recap: Reds 1, Braves 4 (August 1)

Freddie Freeman hit a three-run homer in the bottom of the first inning, and that was pretty much that on a rain-shortened night in Atlanta. Anthony DeSclafani rebounded afterward to fire four scoreless innings, although it was clear he didn’t have his best command. The Reds offense — stacked with right-handers — could get little going against southpaw Max Fried.

The two chances they did have largely went by the wayside. In the second, Phil Ervin and Jose Iglesias singled with no outs. Aristides Aquino then hit into a double play, and the Reds would have to settle for one run. That was the most harmful play of the game for the Reds in terms of Win Probability Added (-.103). The second-worst play was a baserunning blunder by Nick Senzel, who was picked off at first base right before Joey Votto hit a double.

Reds Most Valuable Players

  • Jose Peraza: .049 WPA (Win Probability Added) | 1-for-2, RBI single
  • Jose Iglesias: .044 WPA | 1-for-2
  • Phil Ervin: .016 WPA | 1-for-2, run

Reds Least Valuable Players

  • Aristides Aquino: -.132 WPA | 0-for-2, K
  • Anthony DeSclafani: -.101 WPA | 5.o IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 1 BB, 5 K
  • Eugenio Suarez: -.077 WPA | 0-for-3

Play of the Game

  • Jose Peraza: .068 WPA | RBI single in 2nd inning

Hardest-Hit Balls

  • Jose Peraza: 103.7 mph single in 2nd inning
  • Jose Iglesias: 100.2 mph single in 2nd inning
  • Tucker Barnhart: 98.1 mph groundout in 2nd inning

Luckiest Hit of the Day

  • Phil Ervin: .100 xBA, 80.9 mph, -33° LA | Single in 2nd inning

Unluckiest Out of the Day

  • Eugenio Suarez: .790 xBA, 73.6 mph, 16° LA | Lineout in 4th inning

Highest Pitch Velocities by Pitcher

  • Anthony DeSclafani: 96.6 mph four-seam fastball
  • Wandy Peralta: 96.1 mph four-seam fastball
  • David Hernandez: 93.5 mph four-seam fastball


Matt Wilkes got hooked on Reds baseball after attending his first game in Cinergy Field at 6 years old, and he hasn’t looked back. As a kid, he was often found imitating his favorite players — Ken Griffey Jr., Adam Dunn, Sean Casey, and Austin Kearns — in the backyard. When he finally went inside, he was leading the Reds to 162-0 seasons in MVP Baseball 2005 or keeping stats for whatever game was on TV. He started writing about baseball in 2014 and has become fascinated by analytics and all the new data in the game. Matt is also a graduate of The Ohio State University and currently lives in Columbus. Follow him on Twitter at @_MattWilkes.