RC+ Recap: Reds blast their way back into win column

by — August 26, 2019 in Game Recap

The Reds launched three home runs on way to a 6-3 win over the Miami Marlins. Sonny Gray and Michael Lorenzen turned in outstanding pitching performances, holding the Marlins to three hits. Raisel Iglesias pitched the 9th, giving up a home run and recording 3 strikeouts. Freddy Galvis turned a 2-1 deficit into a 4-2 lead with a 387-foot homer in the 5th inning. Eugenio Suarez (432 feet) and Phillip Ervin (436 feet) followed with massive solo shots in the 8th and 9th innings to pad the Reds lead.

Eugenio Suarez hit homer #36. For Galvis, it was a career-best #22.

Gray pitched into the 7th inning giving up only two hits. He did walk 5 batters while striking out 6. In the 7th, he walked the leadoff hitter and gave up a broken bat opposite field single. Manager David Bell brought in Lorenzen who retired three Miami hitters on a ground ball, strikeout and another ground ball. Lorenzen also pitched a shutout 8th inning.

Reds Most Valuable Players

  • Freddy Galvis (.391 WPA) Win Probability Added
  • Michael Lorenzen (.289 WPA)
  • Josh VanMeter (.075 WPA)

Reds Least Valuable Players

  • Sonny Gray (-.133 WPA)

Play of the Game

  • Freddy Galvis (.356 WPA) 3-run homer

Hardest-Hit Balls

  • Eugenio Suarez (111.2 mph) home run, 432 feet
  • Phillip Ervin (106.3 mph) home run, 436 feet
  • Freddy Galvis (99.9 mph) home run, 387 feet

Luckiest Hit of the Day

  • Freddy Galvis (11% hit probability) single

Unluckiest Out of the Day

  • Tucker Barnhart (36% hit probability) fly out

Highest Pitch Velocities by Pitcher

  • Michael Lorenzen (97.5 mph)
  • Raisel Iglesias ( mph)
  • Sonny Gray (94.7 mph)

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Steve Mancuso

Steve Mancuso is a lifelong Reds fan who grew up during the Big Red Machine era. He’s been writing about the Reds for more than ten years. Steve’s fondest memories about the Reds include attending a couple 1975 World Series games, being at Homer Bailey’s second no-hitter and going nuts for Jay Bruce at Clinchmas. Steve was also at all three games of the 2012 NLDS, but it’s too soon to talk about that.

3 Responses

  1. Mike H says:
    August 27, 2019 at 9:50 AM

    Why does Sonny Gray have such a low WPA? 6 IP, 2 hits with only 2 ER seems pretty good and definitely above average. Is it the walks? But wouldn’t the win probability lost with a walk be recouped by getting out of the inning?

    • Matt Wilkes says:
      August 27, 2019 at 10:45 AM

      He was mostly hurt by putting two runners on base in the seventh inning in a two-run game and getting pulled for Lorenzen. The walk and the single against Gray to start that inning represented a -.175 swing in WPA. The other walks didn’t help either.

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