RC+ Recap: Reds beat Padres, series, head on road trip with opportunity

Reds win the series with a 4-2 over the Padres. In the 7 games this year between the two teams, neither one scored more than 4 runs in any game. Today, Reds pitchers combined for 71 pitches of 95 mph or better.

Michael Lorenzen and Raisel Iglesias pitched clean, dominant, almost unfair innings of relief. Luis Castillo didn’t walk anyone.

The two plays with the highest Win Probability Added for the Reds were bases loaded walks by Freddy Galvis and Josh VanMeter.

The Reds (60-66) now head out on a road trip of opportunity with stops in Pittsburgh, Miami and St. Louis.

[Graphic: Baseball Savant]

Reds Most Valuable Players

  • Luis Castillo: .184 WPA (Win Probability Added) | 6.0 IP, 1 ER, 4 K, 0 BB
  • Freddy Galvis: .153 WPA | Bases loaded walk, double, single
  • Phillip Ervin: .083 WPA | Two singles
  • Michael Lorenzen: .074 WPA | 1 IP, 2K, 0BB
  • Raisel Iglesias: .074 WPA | 1 IP, 2K, 0BB

Reds Least Valuable Players

  • Tucker Barnhart: -.093 WPA | 0-for-4, 2K, 6 LOB

Play of the Game

  • Freddy Galvis: .095 WPA | Bases-loaded walk
  • Josh VanMeter: .092 WPA | Bases-loaded walk
  • Jose Iglesias: .079 WPA | Solo home run

Hardest-Hit Balls

  • Aristides Aquino: 108.5 mph single
  • Josh VanMeter: 105.5 mph single
  • Jose Iglesais: 101.5 groundout

Luckiest Hit of the Day

  • Jose Iglesias: 10% hit probability, Home Run, 355 feet

Unluckiest Out of the Day

  • Freddy Galvis: 57% hit probability, groundout

Highest Pitch Velocities by Pitcher

  • Raisel Iglesias: 98.6 mph
  • Michael Lorenzen: 98.4 mph
  • Luis Castillo: 98.2 mph
  • Lucas Sims: 95.6 mph

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Steve Mancuso

Steve Mancuso is a lifelong Reds fan who grew up during the Big Red Machine era. He’s been writing about the Reds for more than ten years. Steve’s fondest memories about the Reds include attending a couple 1975 World Series games, being at Homer Bailey’s second no-hitter and going nuts for Jay Bruce at Clinchmas. Steve was also at all three games of the 2012 NLDS, but it’s too soon to talk about that.