Reds select OF Austin Hendrick with first-round draft pick

Reds select OF Austin Hendrick with first-round draft pick

For the first time in months, we have some Reds news. The team took high school outfielder Austin Hendrick with the No. 12 overall pick in the 2020 MLB Draft on Wednesday.

Hendrick, a left-handed hitter and thrower who will turn 19 next Monday, stands at 6-foot-1 and 195 pounds. He attended West Allegheny High School near Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, where he primarily played right field, and is a Mississippi State commit. He figures to play a corner outfield spot as a professional as well.

Austin Hendrick Scouting Report (Per MLB Pipeline)

Hit (out of 80): 50 | Power: 60 | Run: 55 | Arm: 55 | Field: 50

The last two times the Reds took a position player in the first round, they went a bit safer with college bats (Nick Senzel in 2016, Jonathan India in 2018). Hendrick comes with more risk because, well, most high schoolers do. The Reds haven’t taken a high school position player this high in a draft since selecting Devin Mesoraco with the 16th overall pick in 2007.

Beyond his age, though, Hendrick’s risk also comes from the swing and miss in his game. That being said, when a player gets drafted so highly despite issues making contact, it’s almost always because they can crush the ball.

That is undoubtedly the case with Hendrick, who is lauded for his raw power. As you can see in the video below, Hendrick has a quick, smooth, powerful swing that looks nearly effortless. Perhaps that shouldn’t come as a surprise for a kid whose favorite player is Ken Griffey Jr.




Here’s a look at Hendrick in game action, where both the bat speed and swing-and-miss tendencies are on display:




 




Reds general manager Nick Krall called Hendrick a middle-of-the-order bat:

Here’s a collection of what various scouts and writers have to say about Hendrick:

  • FanGraphs: “Hendrick swung and missed a lot during his showcase summer but has the best raw power in the high school class.”
  • Reds Minor Leagues (Doug Gray): “All of his raw tool grades are at least average, while his raw power is among the best in the entire draft and at the top among all high schoolers.”
  • MLB Pipeline (Jonathan Mayo): “He has as much bat speed and raw power as any prep hitter in the class.”
  • The Athletic (Keith Law): “Hendrick makes exceptionally hard contact with a very noisy approach that sometimes sees him collapse his back side, so he’s a power over hit guy for now — which means he has significant upside with 30+ homer potential but risk that he doesn’t hit enough to get there.”
  • Perfect Game: “Hits from an exaggerated high hand set up that creates timing variables, has whippy fast hands when he’s on time and can create elite bat speed and impact, has lots of lift in his swing, fun to watch the ball come off the barrel when his timing is on. High ceiling talent with some work to do on his hitting approach.”

From a defensive perspective, scouting reports note Hendrick’s strong throwing arm, which should help him stay in right field as he moves through the Reds’ organization. He’s rated as an above-average runner, as well.

If the videos and scouting reports don’t convince you of Hendrick’s power, the Perfect Game scouting report above also notes he has hit an exit velocity as high as 105 mph, which is elite for a high school hitter. Rapsodo has tracked Hendrick as high as 108 mph off the bat.

The slot value of the 12th pick in this year’s draft is $4,366,400. Matt Weyrich of NBC Sports expects Hendrick to sign for above slot value.

The remainder of the shortened, five-round draft will take place on Thursday at 5 p.m. EST. The Reds’ next pick will be the 48th overall. They also have a competitive balance pick at No. 65. Coverage will once again be available on MLB Network and ESPN2.

[Featured Image: Credit to Flickr user slgckgc]

Matt Wilkes

Matt Wilkes got hooked on Reds baseball after attending his first game in Cinergy Field at 6 years old, and he hasn’t looked back. As a kid, he was often found imitating his favorite players — Ken Griffey Jr., Adam Dunn, Sean Casey, and Austin Kearns — in the backyard. When he finally went inside, he was leading the Reds to 162-0 seasons in MVP Baseball 2005 or keeping stats for whatever game was on TV. He started writing about baseball in 2014 and has become fascinated by analytics and all the new data in the game. Matt is also a graduate of The Ohio State University and currently lives in Columbus. Follow him on Twitter at @_MattWilkes.

6 Responses

  1. kmartin says:

    A future Jay Bruce?

    • Matt Wilkes says:

      That’s definitely a comparison I thought of. His swing reminds me a lot of Bryce Harper, too.

  2. Thomas Green says:

    Hi, Matt. Thanks for the article – so good to have something new to read about! Question: why only a 60
    power grade if his raw power, bat speed, and exit velo are elite? I thought I might see a much higher number.

    • Matt Wilkes says:

      Believe me, it was great to have something new to write about as well.

      As far as his power rating, it’s important to remember that a 60 grade is still considered “plus.” Only 15% or so of hitters have that kind of power. That’s also the highest rating of any high school hitter in the draft (he’s tied with a couple of other guys). I’m not totally certain whether MLB Pipeline is ranking his game power (what he actually shows in game action against live pitching) or raw power (what shows in batting practice/what he could grow into). Some outlets, like FanGraphs, will give a ranking for both game power and raw power. For reference, Hendrick was given a 60 for game power and 70 for raw power by FanGraphs.

      Also, it’s just rare to see a prospect with a 65-70 rating or higher. Scouts don’t throw those rankings around lightly, especially not for high school hitters. That’s typically reserved for those uber prospects like Bryce Harper, etc. Heck, even Aaron Judge was only given 60-grade power by MLB Pipeline. That said, I’ve also noticed that, at times, MLB Pipeline tends to be more conservative in their grading than other prospect experts/scouts. Judge received a 70 power grade from other outlets, for example. So while I wouldn’t call Hendrick’s 60-grade power “elite,” we can still very safely say it’s well above average and there’s potential for him to reach that “elite” status as he develops.

      • Thomas Green says:

        Thanks, Matt. I appreciate the info. And I’ll settle for Aaron Judge level power. That probably plays OK at GABP…

  3. Given my baseball fan veteran-ness, when I hear ‘power’ and ‘swing and miss issues,’ one guy who comes to mind is Rob Deer, who hit 230 home runs in 11 seasons (mid 80s to early 90s) and also struck out more than one-third of the time. I think he was the strikeout king back when there was something of a stigma to striking out so often.

    Given baseball’s tolerance for Ks now, I’ll be especially curious how this guy’s power manifests itself. Deer also managed a 12.7 percent walk rate.